POLY

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Bets on whether Elon Musk posts fewer than 40 times on X in a 48-hour window. Reposts and quote posts count; replies generally do not.

Market closes in ~1 day. Musk typically posts 100+ times per 48-hour period, making sub-40 posts extremely unlikely based on historical behavior.

At 2%, the market says there is almost no chance Musk stays this quiet. He would need to go nearly silent on his own platform for two full days.

Yes Prob.

No 100%Yes 0%

$583K

24h Volume

$60K

Liquidity

—

Until close

BUZZ

0%▼ -4% (7日)

Polymarket CLOB API1時間間隔

AI Generated

01What is this market?

Bets on whether Elon Musk posts fewer than 40 times on X in a 48-hour window. Reposts and quote posts count; replies generally do not.

Market closes in ~1 day. Musk typically posts 100+ times per 48-hour period, making sub-40 posts extremely unlikely based on historical behavior.

At 2%, the market says there is almost no chance Musk stays this quiet. He would need to go nearly silent on his own platform for two full days.

Probability has held near 2% throughout, reflecting consistent high-volume posting history with no signs of deviation.

Near-certain 'No.' Watch for any unusual news that could keep Musk off X, but his baseline activity makes sub-40 posts implausible.

AI generated on 3/30/2026

This site displays Polymarket data for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

7d Trend

Yes Prob.

7dnow