Netanyahu out by April 30?
01What is this market?
This market asks whether Benjamin Netanyahu will stop being Israel's Prime Minister before April 30, 2025, due to resignation, removal, or any other reason.
02Why is it trending now?
Netanyahu faces ongoing legal pressures from his corruption trial and political tensions within his coalition. The ICC arrest warrant and Gaza ceasefire debates add volatility to his political standing in early 2025.
03What does 4% mean?
At 4%, markets strongly expect Netanyahu to remain PM through April. Only a sudden coalition collapse or major legal development would likely shift this outcome.
04Price history
Probability has stayed low and stable, reflecting Netanyahu's historically resilient grip on power despite repeated political crises.
05Key takeaways
Netanyahu's exit before April 30 is highly unlikely. Watch for coalition fractures or court developments that could change the calculus.
AI generated on 3/28/2026
Until close
7d Trend
Related News