POLY
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
3%
Yes Prob.
No 97%Yes 3%
$2.3M
24h Volume
$705K
Liquidity
—
Until close
100
BUZZ
3%▼ -4% (7日)
Polymarket CLOB API1時間間隔
AI explanation is being generated (updated every hour)
News That Moved This Market
AI matchedNHK7h ago
イラン軍事作戦1か月 米国務長官 “作戦は数週間で終わる”AI
数週間で終わるとの発言が停戦交渉を示唆
↑Pushes Yes probability higher
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7d Trend
Yes Prob.
7dnow
Related News
NHK
イラン軍事作戦1か月 米国務長官 “作戦は数週間で終わる”
Reuters
U.S. and Iran Hold Indirect Talks in Oman Amid Hopes for Temporary Truce
Bloomberg
Trump Administration Weighs Iran Deal as Sanctions Pressure Mounts Ahead of Spring Deadline
The New York Times
Diplomatic Signals Emerge Between Washington and Tehran, but Obstacles Remain