POLY175d left

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

18%

Yes Prob.

No 82%Yes 18%

$749K

24h Volume

$13K

Liquidity

175d left

Until close

BUZZ

18%▲ +4% (7日)

Polymarket CLOB API1時間間隔

AI Generated

01What is this market?

Will the far-right AfD party win the most seats in Berlin's state parliament elections scheduled for September 20, 2026?

02Why is it trending now?

AfD surged nationally in the February 2025 federal election, becoming Germany's second-largest party. Traders are reassessing whether that momentum carries into Berlin's 2026 state vote.

03What does 18% mean?

At 12%, markets say AfD winning Berlin outright is unlikely. Berlin skews left, and CDU or SPD are seen as far more probable frontrunners for the top seat count.

04Price history

Probability has remained low, reflecting Berlin's historically left-leaning electorate resisting AfD's national surge.

05Key takeaways

CDU leads Berlin polling; watch AfD's state-level numbers and coalition dynamics as 2026 approaches.

AI generated on 3/28/2026

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Until close

175

days left

September 20

7d Trend

Yes Prob.

7dnow