POLY32d left
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
3%
Yes Prob.
No 97%Yes 3%
$591K
24h Volume
$228K
Liquidity
32d left
Until close
39
BUZZ
3%▼ -12% (7日)
Polymarket CLOB API1時間間隔
AI Generated
01What is this market?
This market bets on whether U.S. President Trump will physically set foot in China by April 30, 2026. Airspace transit doesn't count.
02Why is it trending now?
Amid ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions and tariff escalations in early 2025, speculation about high-level diplomatic contact has surged, driving $582K in 24h volume.
03What does 3% mean?
At 3%, markets see a Trump China visit as extremely unlikely — roughly the same odds as a rare but not impossible black swan diplomatic event.
04Price history
Probability has remained very low, hovering near 3%, reflecting deep skepticism given current U.S.-China tensions.
05Key takeaways
Watch for any U.S.-China trade deal signals or summit announcements — those would be the clearest triggers for a probability spike.
AI generated on 3/28/2026
This site displays Polymarket data for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Until close
32
days left
April 30
7d Trend
Yes Prob.
7dnow
Related News
Bloomberg
Trump Signals Openness to Beijing Visit as Trade Talks Advance, Sources Say
Reuters
White House Does Not Rule Out Trump China Trip Amid Tariff Negotiations
South China Morning Post
Beijing Quietly Prepares for Possible Trump Visit as Both Sides Seek Trade Deal Breakthrough